(Anika Burgess’s post from the ABC NEWS AUSTRALIA on 24 January 2026.)
The
US developed its own version of Iran's Shahed attack drones called the Low-cost
Unmanned Combat Attack System. Russia's version of Iran's fast, cheap Shahed
attack drones have been wreaking havoc during the Ukraine conflict, saturating
the skies nearly every night and terrorising civilians.
Highly
adaptive and hard to intercept, the United States witnessed how the long-range
exploding drones profoundly reshaped the Ukraine war. So they got hold of one
and reverse-engineered it. The Pentagon did not attempt to hide that its new
Low-cost Unmanned Combat Attack System (LUCAS) drone was based on the Iranian
Shahed-136 when it was unveiled last year.
The US Air Force had released a request for information seeking to develop "a 1:1 copy" of the so-called kamikaze drone. US officials even told CNN and defence publication The War Zone that a LUCAS squadron was deployed to the Middle East in December "to flip the script on Iran".
It
appears the US likely used its Shahed replica for the first time in combat
during an operation to seize Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro earlier this
month, according to drone experts. Now, US President Donald Trump has been
threatening to use force against Iran over the regime's massacre of
anti-government protesters.
US-based
human rights monitor HRANA has confirmed 5,002 people have been killed, and
9,787 additional deaths are under investigation. With Mr Trump building up
military assets in the region, defence analysts say it is only a matter of time
before the US uses Iran's drone technology against them.
Why the US wanted the Shahed
The
high-pitched thrum of the Shahed drone's engine has become a hallmark of the
Ukraine conflict. The UAVs (Unmanned Aerial Vehicles) have been widely used by
Russia to unleash relentless assaults on Ukrainian cities.
"It
doesn't matter if an individual Shahed hits its target. What matters is the
compound effect the terror weapon has on civilians and the stress it places on
air defences," analysts from the US Center for Strategic and International
Studies wrote.
Unlike
traditional drones that fly on a mission and return home, the drones were
designed as ammunition, diving into targets with an explosive warhead. Originally
imported from Iran, Russia now mass produces its own "Geran" version,
churning out nearly 3,000 a month, according to Ukrainian intelligence.
With
a price range of $US20,000 to $50,000 ($29,700 to $73,000), the drones are
exponentially cheaper than the missiles required to shoot them down, which can
cost upwards of $US1 million. The long-range weapons are also particularly
difficult to defend against when launched in large volumes. Hundreds are being
launched in a single attack, with European intelligence officials and analysts
estimating bombardments could reach more than 2,000 drones.
Mr
Trump spoke about the need for the US to develop a Shahed equivalent at a
business roundtable in Qatar early last year. "I want a lot of drones, and
in the case of Iran, they make a good drone, and they make them for $35,000,
$40,000," he said. "They're very good, too, and fast and deadly,
horrible, actually, when you look at what's happening with Russia and
Ukraine."
Iran
has also deployed the weapons directly in strikes against Israel, including an
attack in April 2024 that included about 150. UNSW senior lecturer in aviation
Oleksandra Molloy, an expert in drone warfare in Ukraine, said the Shahed's
capabilities were constantly evolving.
"They
are particularly interesting types of drones because they are continuously
increasing in speed and being used for different missions, including as
decoys," Dr Molloy told the ABC. "Now we see the US is moving toward
these systems, realising the mass effect and cost-effectiveness compared to the
drones the US was traditionally investing in."
US low-cost attack drones in action
Also
referred to by the manufacturer SpektreWorks as the FLM 136, the US LUCAS
drones share many of the specifications of the Shahed 136. Dr Molloy said the
drones also shared the same delta-wing look and long-range one-way mission
profile, but the SpektreWorks versions would be built with US standards and
components.
In
December, the Pentagon announced it had deployed the US military's first
one-way-attack drone squadron to the Middle East. Soon after, the US Navy
recorded a "milestone", saying the LUCAS drones had been
"successfully launched" from a ship at sea for the first time.
Defence
analysts and drone experts say it appears the US may have taken the next step,
launching its LUCAS drones as part of its recent strikes on Venezuela. The same
distinctive sounds made by Shahed-type drones — nicknamed "flying
mopeds" — were heard in various videos that came out of Caracas.
"Certain
UAV construction results in specific drone sound signatures while in
flight," Samuel Bendett, an expert on drones and other weapons at the US
Center for Naval Analysis, told the ABC. "It's highly likely that the
sound being recorded and shared on social media belongs to this new US
drone."
The
US said the military operation to oust the Venezuelan president involved
bombers, drones, aircraft carriers, and amphibious assault ships. The Pentagon
and US Special Operations Command would not provide comment on the use of LUCAS
drones in Venezuela.
"Although
there is no confirmed information by the US officials, videos and witness
evidence from Caracas describe the drones as 'Shahed-like,'" Dr Molloy
said. "It sounds like propeller-driven loitering munitions. And based on
the flight profiles and acoustic signatures, it is a one-way attack loitering
munition."
Dr
Molloy said the use of the drones was significant for the US, providing an
additional component "that creates new strategies in achieving their
missions". She suggested that in Venezuela, the weapons could have been
used to help deter air defences, forcing missile systems to shoot at the cheap
drones rather than advanced US aircraft.
"It
seems like they had a potentially positive first combat experience … which
means that they are likely to continue using those and delivering those effects
within their capabilities in theatre," Dr Molloy said.
US sends 'armada' to Iran
After it appeared that US strikes on Iran last weekend were imminent, Mr Trump eased his rhetoric. He had been warning of military intervention amid a deadly crackdown on nationwide anti-government protests that started on December 28.
Estimates
on the death toll vary. Mai Sato, special rapporteur on the situation of human
rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran, said at least 5,000 civilians had been
killed by the regime. But she told the ABC that doctors inside Iran were
reporting civilian deaths could be more than 20,000.
Mr
Trump has continued to call for an end to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei's nearly 40-year reign, and has begun building up US military assets
in the region. US warships, including the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln,
several destroyers and fighter aircraft, started moving from the Asia-Pacific
last week and will arrive in the Middle East region in the coming days,
according to a Reuters report citing two US officials.
Mr
Trump on Thursday, local time, said there was a "big force" going
toward Iran, and he was watching the country "very closely". "We
have an armada … heading in that direction, and maybe we won't have to use
it," he said.
f
the US did launch air strikes on Iran, Brandon Weichert, senior national
security editor at The National Interest, said it was likely the new LUCAS
drones would be used. "The United States is absolutely looking at a
situation where it will soon be deploying cribbed versions of Iran's Shahed
drones against the Iranians," Mr Weichert told the ABC.
"I
suspect, given events on the ground in Iran, that they will be deployed sooner
rather than later." Mr Weichert was surprised that the US so openly copied
the Iranian drone technology. "The United States had, on some level,
fallen behind Iran in the drone development business … they are now having to
play catch-up by reverse-engineering more advanced Iranian drones," he
said. "It means that whenever the next big, direct war America involves
itself in, these Iranian-based drones will be used in important ways."
Last
week, a string of Middle Eastern countries, including Saudi Arabia, Türkiye,
Qatar, Oman and Egypt urged the Trump administration to hold off on strikes
against Iran. Reports by Axios and The New York Times cited US officials saying
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu also warned Mr Trump that Israel was
not prepared for Iranian retaliation.
Mr
Weichert said one thing Iranian Shahed development had shown was that
"underestimating Iran in certain key tactical areas is a dangerous
assumption". "Clearly, they have some capabilities that could pose
grave threats to US and allied forces in the region, if Tehran decided to go
full bore against their perceived enemies in Israel and the wider region."





