(Nathan Mawby’s post from the REALESTATE.COM on 11 June 2026.)
$31bn
plunge in Chinese investors will hurt Aus housing, experts warn: A decade after
major tightening of foreign investment rules in Australia the nation has had a
more than $65bn cut to funds coming in — spearheaded by China.
China-based
property buyers have made moves on $200m worth of Aussie homes in the first
three months of 2026. But it’s a fraction of what they used to spend, with
Australia on track to receive $31bn less in investment from the Asian
superpower into its property market compared to 2016.
Latest figures from the Foreign Investment Review Board show Chinese investors are on track to buy in the vicinity of $1bn worth of residential homes here in the current financial year. In the 2015-2016 financial year they sought to buy a jaw-dropping $31.912bn worth of Aussie homes.
And
property industry experts have warned the staggering loss of capital appears
set to hurt Australian home buyers and renters. The latest FIRB data shows that
so far this financial year there has been just $3.7bn put on the table to
support the nation’s housing market from investors abroad requiring government
approval. It equates to 2326 homes.
That
includes $1bn in the first three months of 2026 — and a repeat of that in the
next three months would bring the 2026 financial year closer to a $4.7bn total.
Across the 2015-2016 financial year, when foreign investment in Australian
housing peaked, the total amount from across the globe was a whopping $72.4bn.
That
accounted for 29 per cent of the national total of foreign investment, and made
it the largest single category in FIRB data. On December 1, 2015, the
Australian government tightened its foreign investment laws to limit offshore
investors to purchasing new homes.
China
was and remains the dominant force in international investors buying into the
nation’s housing market, and since the start of the current financial year,
July 1, 2025, they’ve sought to buy 638 homes worth a combined $800m. It’s
likely they will end the current financial year close to the $1bn mark, based
on recent quarters’ data.
Other
major players so far this year include Taiwan, an independent nation off the
coast of China that has been the subject of consistent concerns it will be
invaded by the superpower, which was behind 285 home purchase attempts so far
this financial year, worth in the vicinity of $400m.
China remains the biggest investor in Australian homes from abroad, but its numbers are massively down from years gone by. Vietnamese investors also sought to acquire about $200m worth of Aussie homes, equating to 237 residences, in the same timeline.
Indonesia
was next with 112 proposals, worth about $100m, followed by Hong Kong-based
buyers who added 127 purchases to the tally worth $100m. India was the sixth
biggest foreign investor in Australian homes at $100m, and 177 proposals, in
the same timeline.
Foreign
investors seeking to purchase Australian homes can only buy new ones under the
nation’s property laws, effectively forcing them to help increase the nation’s
housing supply. Real Estate Institute of Australia president Jacob Caine said
larger volumes of offshore funding could have a dramatic impact on the housing
economy.
“It’s
important to remember that foreign investment in the Australian housing market
is invaluable in helping to underpin adequate supply and contributing to
controlling affordability,” Mr Caine said.
“Whilst
the government restrictions on foreign investment in theory contribute to a
more level playing field for Australian residents, in practice they undermine
housing affordability targets and the ultimate goal of an equitable housing
system.”
Mr
Caine pointed to the Victorian experience, with the state attracting the
largest share of the investment in the 2016 financial year, about $28bn, which
had underpinned significantly higher increases in the supply of new housing
across the state than other parts of the country. “And the result of that over
performance was more affordable housing, cheaper rent and a market that better
serviced Victoria,” he said.
Ray
White chief economist Nerida Conisbee said the massive reduction in the past
decade could provide insights into what would happen to the numbers of local
investors as state and federal governments continued to remove incentives and
increase taxation on them.
Key
reasons for the decline in foreign investment in Australian housing include
increased taxation on them by state governments, limitations to only purchasing
new homes, and the Chinese government putting in additional capital controls on
funds leaving its country.
Foreign investors are now only allowed to buy new builds, in a bid to increase the nation’s housing supply. In 2025, the Australian government also extended its controls on foreign purchases of homes. “They have been trying to discourage it for a long time now,” Ms Conisbee said.
“But
the only time we got close to building 1.2 million homes over five years was a
period we had significant foreign investment. Provided you harness it in the
right way, it can be effective for getting homes built.”
The
economist noted that recent federal budget announcements would not stop local
investors who wanted to purchase new homes, as their tax treatment would not be
changed, those investors now knew that they would not be able to sell to
another investor — and that confidence among investors had taken a hit as a
result.
“People
don’t understand the role money plays in creating housing,” Ms Conisbee said.“They’re
now trying to discourage local investors. Who else is going to provide the
funding?”
Experts
believe that harnessed the right way, foreign investment could help with
Australia’s housing crisis by funding more construction. Noting that people
would not always want to invest in Australian property if it became
increasingly difficult for them to see a way to make a profit, she said while
it was hard to tell if local investors would fall away at the same rate as the
international ones had, “there will be a drop off, for sure”.
The
latest FIRB data also shows there was a further $8.6bn invested into
Australia’s commercial property market in the first quarter of this year. It
covered 266 proposed investments.


