Burma’s Fault Lines: Ethnic Federalism and Peace (2014)

 (Charmaine Benson Craig’s post from the DISSENT MAGAZINE in Fall 2014.)

Burma’s Fault Lines: Ethnic Federalism and the Road to Peace. As gross human rights violations against the country’s ethnic groups continue, can peace and democracy really take hold?

After more than half a century of war and broken ceasefire agreements, Burma is currently in the midst of landmark peace talks between its government and a coalition of ethnic resistance groups.

In July, the Nationwide Ceasefire Coordination Team (NCCT)—representing sixteen ethnic nationalities including the Karen, the Kachin, the Mon, the Arakanese, and the Shan—met in Kachin-held Laiza to discuss the terms of a proposed national ceasefire, under negotiation with the government since last November.

The ethnic nationalities, of which all but the Kachin and the Ta’ang have already struck bilateral ceasefire agreements with the government, are calling for greater administrative autonomy within a new federal Union of Burma, control over natural resources in their territories, and a guarantee that political dialogue with the government will take place within months of a national ceasefire accord.

2024 Cut-5-Cuts Blockading of Kokang Army By China

  (Concise translation of Thuta Zaw’s article from MYANMAR NOW on 4 October 2024.)

MNDAA the Kokang Army has recently declared, as the obivious response to China’s relentless pressure, that its members are now being prohibited from travelling to the Western Nations especially the US, and the ASEAN nations. The MNDAA also prohibited all their members from meeting or discussing the crucial matters with those nations.

That is in addition to its declaration stopping all collaboration, either politics or military, with US-aligned NUG (NLD’s exile National Unity Government based in US) or any international organization that opposed China, in early September this year. But China wants more than those written assurances from seemingly recalcitrant MNDAA. China wants the Kokang Army to withdraw from the prized Lashio City they captured from Myanmar Army this year on July 25.

To force MNDAA to meet that impossible demand China has been severely blockading the Kokang Territory as their so-called Cut-5-Cuts Operation along the Chinese Border since last September. Strictly No Electricity, No Water, No Internet, No crucial supplies such as rice, fuel, medicines, and essential-consumables, and No Cross-border Movement. The whole Kokang-China border has been tight shut by a division of PLA, the People Liberation Army.

Refined, but Not Destroyed, in the Fire (Isiah 48:10)

(AI post from the GOOGLE SEARCH on 23 July 2026.)

Isaiah 48:10 states: "See, I have refined you, but not as silver; I have tested you in the furnace of affliction."

It means God uses times of intense hardship, pain, and trials as a purposeful tool. Rather than destroying His people, He uses these "furnaces" to burn away character flaws, purify faith, and draw them into deeper dependence on Him.

"Not As Silver": In ancient metallurgy, silver ore was heated over a fire until the dross (impurities) floated to the top, and the silversmith skimmed it off. This process was continued until the metal was pure enough to reflect the smith's face.

By saying "not as silver," God means two things:  The intensity: Literal silver requires a very specific, controllable heat. The "furnace of affliction" He uses represents intense, overwhelming trials rather than a mild test.

The outcome: A human silversmith refines to produce a valuable commodity. God refines you for something much greater: to draw out all spiritual impurities and conform you to His likeness.

2021-Coup Turned Myanmar Into A Failed State!

(Joshua Kurlantzick’s post from COUNCIL on FOREIGN RELATIONS on 10 July 2026.)

How the Coup Turned Myanmar Into Asia’s Deadliest Conflict—and Why the World Is Looking Away: Five years after its generals seized power, Myanmar has collapsed into Asia’s deadliest war and a nearly unequalled humanitarian catastrophe. And yet, the rest of the world has decided to ignore the conflict amid other major geopolitical developments.

The war in Myanmar, driven by a 2021 coup, is now Asia’s deadliest conflict. ACLED, a conflict-monitoring group, counts more than 100,000 people killed since the military overthrew the democratically elected government in February 2021. The group calls it the most fragmented conflict anywhere—with over 1,200 armed factions—and considers Myanmar one of the most war-torn countries on earth.

It was not always this way. While Myanmar often seemed to be in a time warp through decades of autocratic military rule, it began to change. In the decade since the country began opening up its political system in 2011, the economy grew by an average of about 6 percent a year, and poverty fell steeply—from 48.2 percent in 2005 to 24.8 percent by 2017, according to the World Bank.

China, Russia and India make inroads in Myanmar

(Staff post from the BENGAL BAY POST on 06 July 2026.)

China, Russia and India make inroads in Myanmar with transit corridors: Competing regional powers accelerate massive transport and energy projects in Myanmar to secure vital Indian Ocean routes despite ongoing civil conflict.

Myanmar is emerging as a focal point in Asia's strategic connectivity race, with China, Russia and India simultaneously advancing major transport and energy projects that could reshape regional trade despite the country's ongoing civil conflict.

Myanmar government has intensified efforts to revive long-delayed infrastructure initiatives, viewing the projects as critical to transforming Myanmar into a regional logistics hub linking East Asia, South Asia and the Indian Ocean.

Typhoon Maysak Bursting The Nanning Dam.

(AFP News Post  from the STRATS TIME on 06 July 2026.)

BEIJING - Typhoon Maysak brought heavy rain and severe flooding to China’s southern Guangxi region, with the authorities on July 6 raising flood alert levels as the system weakened into a tropical storm.

Officials in Nanning, Guangxi’s capital, raised the city’s flood control emergency response to the highest level after torrential rain breached dams. Videos shared by state broadcaster CCTV on July 6 showed ferocious torrents of muddy water gushing through a breach in a dam on the Liulan reservoir – described by state media as a “medium-sized” reservoir – heading for buildings in the distance.

A dam on the Yunbiao reservoir also burst, while the Liuwang reservoir overflowed, the Nanning authorities said in a statement on their official WeChat account. More than 800 residents were evacuated due to severe flooding in Fangchenggang, also in Guangxi, according to state media.

The heavy rainfall caused waters to rise above warning levels in 66 hydrological monitoring stations on 55 rivers in Guangxi on July 6, CCTV reported. Luwei Town, also in Nanning, recorded 637mm of rain in 24 hours between July 5 and 6 morning, according to CCTV.

Trump Screwed by Supreme Court: Anchor-Babies Won?

      (Staff post from the ABC NEWS AUSTRALIA on 01 July 2026.)

US Supreme Court rejects Donald Trump's bid to restrict birthright citizenship: The US Supreme Court has rejected Donald Trump's bid to overturn birthright citizenship.

It is a major blow to the US president's hardline agenda on immigration and comes after the same court earlier this year limited his ability to impose sweeping tariffs. What's next? Mr Trump has urged Congress to implement legislation to end birthright citizenship, despite the court finding it was a constitutional right.

Donald Trump's controversial attempt to restrict birthright citizenship in the US has been rejected by the Supreme Court, up-ending the president's hardline agenda on immigration. The 6-3 ruling marked the second time this year that the court has invalidated one of Mr Trump's major initiatives, following its February decision to strike down his sweeping global tariffs.

The Arakan Army's Ascent From State to Nation

           (Suu Mon’s article from the ACLED on 31 October 2025.)

From state to nation: The Arakan Army's ascent in post-coup Myanmar. The Arakan Army’s successes in Rakhine state advance its regional goals and provide it with strategic leverage against the military and its backers in India and China.

Since the 2021 military coup, the Arakan Army (AA) has rapidly become the most powerful armed actor in western Myanmar, where it controls the most territory, has built administrative structures, and asserts authority over the wider region.

The AA is now a significant national-level actor that conducts multi-regional operations with old and new allies and has influence far beyond Rakhine state. The AA controls part or all of major foreign investment projects in Rakhine state, which gives it strategic leverage with China and India, countries that desire project continuity and currently support the military regime.

Rare Earth Extraction by China in Kachin State

(Based on AI Overview of GOOGLE Search on 28 June 2026.)

Chinese Rare earth extractions in Myanmar's Kachin State relies on in-situ leaching, an industrial process that pumps chemical solutions directly into mountainsides to dissolve and collect valuable heavy metals like dysprosium and terbium.

The operations are highly destructive, supply chains are entangled with armed conflict, and the output feeds heavily into China. The Extraction Process In-Situ Leaching is often described as an "IV drip" for the mountains. Workers drill holes into hillsides, lay a network of pipes, and inject leaching agents (such as Ammonium Nitrate or Ammonium Sulfate) into the soil.

The chemical solution seeps through the earth, dissolving the naturally occurring rare earth elements bound to the ionic clay. The metal-rich liquid flows downslope and is captured in large, tarpaulin-lined leaching pools for collection.