(Jennifer Zeng’s post from the JAPAN FORWARD on 07 November 2023.)
Shockwave
of Chinese Premier Li Keqiang's Death: End of Old Era, or Beginning of New One?
Li Keqiang's death shocked many and has raised some uncomfortable questions
about the consolidation of power and future of China, reports author Jennifer
Zeng.
Former
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang's death has sent shockwaves through Chinese society.
He passed away suddenly after only seven months out of office, drawing massive
attention both domestically and abroad.
With the cremation of his body, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) authorities are forcibly seeking to quell this shockwave. Some lament that Li's passing marks the end of an era. But does it also herald the beginning of another?
Three
Anomalies Surrounding Li Keqiang's Death!
Unexpectedness: The First Anomaly. The first reason for the shock among Chinese citizens at Li Keqiang's sudden demise lies in its unexpectedness. He was seen visiting Dunhuang just two months earlier on August 30. Footage from the scene showed him looking spirited and walking briskly, not at all like someone on the brink of death.
Also,
compared to other CCP officials of his standing, he was still too young. For
instance, Mao Zedong lived to 83, Deng Xiaoping to 92, and Jiang Zemin to 96.
Looking at previous Chinese premiers, Zhou Enlai reached 78, Hua Guofeng 86,
and Li Peng 90. Zhu Rongji is currently 95 and alive, and Wen Jiabao is 81 and
also alive. Even the former Politburo Standing Committee member, Song Ping, is
now 106 years old and still living.
According
to Li Keqiang himself, there are 600 million people in China with a monthly
income of less than 1000 RMB ($137 USD). The average life expectancy for
Chinese men is nearly 75 years.
People
living in China are aware that national-level leaders have dedicated medical
teams to monitor their health around the clock, enjoying the best medical care
and even the possibility of organ replacement as needed. The claim that Li
Keqiang suddenly died from an acute cardiac incident is unconvincing. Cardiac
arrest is treatable and myocardial infarction occurs over time, not suddenly
without prior symptoms.
Location: The Second Anomaly. A second cause for incomprehension among the Chinese public lies in the choice of hospital for emergency treatment. According to official statements, Li was "resting" at the Shanghai Dong Jiao State Guest Hotel when he suddenly suffered a heart attack while swimming at 11 AM on October 26.
He was
taken to the nearby Shuguang Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine
thereafter. Unfortunately, he was declared dead after efforts to resuscitate
him were unsuccessful. He officially passed away on October 27 at 00:10 AM.
It is
commonly known that traditional Chinese medicine hospitals generally specialize
in treating chronic diseases and adjusting the "balance of yin and
yang" within the body. They are not suited for emergency care or surgery.
Why then was he not taken to the nearby Huashan Hospital affiliated with Fudan
University, which is better equipped and closer than Shuguang Hospital?
Locations of Shanghai Dong Jiao State Guest Hotel (in the middle orange circle), Shuguang Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine (in the bottom orange circle), and Huashan Hospital affiliated with Fudan University (in the top orange circle)
Moreover, there are many other renowned large hospitals in the vicinity of Shuguang Hospital, like Zhongshan Hospital, one of the top three hospitals in China with a 96% rescue success rate. Locations of Shuguang Hospital (in the top far right circle) and five other better hospitals nearby.
In fact, like the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing, the Shanghai Dong Jiao State Guest Hotel is designated for the accommodation of foreign heads of state or Chinese leaders. The in-house medical facilities there are already top-tier. If a cardiac emergency occurs, onsite treatment would be more reliable than transferring to a hospital ill-equipped for such emergencies.
Li's Death Announcement: The Third Anomaly. The third irregularity lies in the official handling of Li's death announcement. According to past practice, when a national-level leader passes away, official websites would typically turn to grayscale to show mourning.
However, in the case of Li Keqiang, not only did the official websites not turn gray, but some even used red to publish his death announcement. Red represents festivity and happiness in Chinese culture. This left many Chinese people feeling puzzled and sensing that the handling was highly irregular.
Gansu Provincial CCP Committee's website used red-colored fonts for the title of Li Keqiang's obituary.
Was Li
Keqiang Murdered by Shanghai Police?
Consequently,
various rumors began to circulate immediately suggesting that Li Keqiang was
murdered by Xi Jinping.
Zhao
Lanjian, a former Chinese journalist who previously accurately disclosed the
demotion of China's former Defense Minister Li Shangfu ahead of mainstream
media, revealed information that Li Keqiang was murdered. His information was
that the executor of this assassination was Chen Yuan, commander of the
Shanghai Armed Police Force.
According
to Zhao's analysis, the assassination of Li Keqiang might be related to an
attempted military coup within the CCP. He believed that there were indeed
people in the military attempting a rebellion, which was quelled by Xi Jinping.
Li Keqiang was connected with these individuals, possibly as a
behind-the-scenes operator or perhaps to be invited to replace Xi Jinping.
The
startling discovery of a 'test obituary' for #LiKeqiang, published on February
3, 2023, lends credence to the theory that he was assassinated. This test,
published almost nine months prior to his actual passing, came to light when
someone conducted a search using the term ‘obituary’ following his death on
October 27.
Does Xi Jinping have a Motivation to Remove Li Keqiang?
I also
discussed this perspective in my first and third notes about Li Keqiang's
death. I feel that if one were to find a motive for Xi to murder Li Keqiang,
this would be the most reasonable one, especially in light of Xi Jinping's
recent major purges within the Chinese military and the unexplained demotions
of Defense Minister Li Shangfu and Foreign Minister Qin Gang. Of course,
another reason, which I have mentioned before, is related to Xi's
superstitions.
According
to a reliable source of mine, Xi Jinping believes in ancient Chinese
prophecies. In particular, the "Tui Bei Tu" mentions that
"A soldier carries a bow" might initiate a palace coup. As a bow is
used to launch long-range weapons, it corresponds to the Rocket Force today and
this led to Xi's suspicion of the Rocket Force. In
fact, the Chinese character in Li Keqiang's name is composed of
two parts. The left part is exactly the Chinese character for "bow". So a person who
"carries a bow" can also be Li Keqiang.
In the
40th figure of the Tui Bei Tu, there is a line, "If 'mu zi' appears, the
frost will thaw," suggesting that the arrival of "mu zi" would
bring about a thaw, symbolizing the approach of spring. When the Chinese
characters for "mu" and
"zi" are combined,
they form the surname Li. This could indicate that a person with the surname Li would bring China towards
spring, a line that could have made Xi Jinping even more suspicious of Li
Keqiang.
The Largest Mourning Event in Human History
Although
up to this point, the suspicions are backed by little concrete evidence,
various online polls suggest that over two-thirds of Chinese people believe Li
was murdered.
This
could explain why, just two days after Li Keqiang's death, it was reported that
over 3 million people visited his former residence in Hefei City, Anhui
Province, to lay flowers, forming what was described as the largest mourning
event in human history.
Volcano Under the Sea of Flowers
Many
say that people mourn Li not necessarily out of love for him, but because of
their deep hatred and disgust for Xi Jinping. They seek an outlet to vent their
grievances, dissatisfaction, and feelings of hopelessness and helplessness
about the future.
Some
say that beneath the sea of flowers mourning Li Keqiang, a hidden volcano is
simmering with the potential to erupt at any moment. Perhaps it was seeing the
anger and injustice accumulating among the people that the CCP, which
originally did not intend to hold a body farewell ceremony for Li Keqiang, like
the one held for former Premier Li Peng, ended up holding a similar ceremony
for Li to quell the public mood.
However,
by that time, the CCP and Xi Jinping had completely fallen into what is known
as the "Thucydides Trap." Whatever they say or do, no one believes
them anymore.
For
example, if they did not hold a body farewell ceremony, people would say that
Xi Jinping is guilty and fearful. If they did hold a ceremony, people would say
Xi Jinping is hypocritically mourning. Some even claimed that the widow who
appeared at the farewell ceremony was not Li Keqiang's real wife Cheng Hong,
but an actress hired by the CCP… It is odd that Xinhua didn’t mention Cheng
Hong’s name, especially when they mentioned that Xi’s wife Peng Liyuan also
attended the farewell ceremony.
CCP Suppresses Mourning to Prevent Another Tiananmen Square Movement
Meanwhile,
the CCP has been trying hard to suppress public mourning. On November 2,
immediately after Li Keqiang's body farewell ceremony ended, the CCP promptly
cleared away the flowers commemorating him. It sealed off the streets in front
of his former residence and no longer allowed people to come to pay their
respects with flowers.
On the
surface, the mourning that lasted seven days was suppressed. It did not lead to
a movement like the 1976 Tiananmen Incident that followed the death of former
CCP Premier Zhou Enlai or the world-shocking Tiananmen democracy movement that
erupted after the death of former CCP head Hu Yaobang in 1989.
Perhaps the CCP has temporarily survived another terrible crisis, and perhaps in the near future, another sudden incident will once again plunge the CCP into crisis. More and more people realize that the tipping point for a comprehensive collapse of Chinese society, or a full-scale outbreak of various social crises, is getting closer.
Ending
the Old Era and Shattering Chinese People's Collective Dreams
Some
say that the departure of Li Keqiang marks the end of an era, the shattering of
a generation's collective dreams. Li Keqiang was part of the first cohort to
enter China's top university, Peking University, in 1977. It was the first year
of the resumption of college entrance exams after the end of the decade-long
Cultural Revolution.
The
young men of his generation thought that they were lucky enough to have caught
the time when the Cultural Revolution had ended. They were in high and vigorous
spirits, believing that China's future was in their own hands.
Then,
the 1989 Tiananmen massacre disillusioned many. Some of them fled overseas,
while others represented by Li Keqiang thought it might be possible to stay
within the system and push for change in China.
Last
Beacon of China's Reform and Opening-up Extinguishes
Now his
death signifies the complete extinguishment of the last beacon of China's
reform and opening-up. Those who lose together with him are all the
technocratic bureaucrats, pseudo-middle classes, once-unbeatable white-glove
businessmen like Jack Ma, as well as once-trusted or
believed-to-be-safe-if-they-remained-silent high-ranking officials within the
system such as Wang Qishan, Qin Gang, Li Shangfu, Hu Chunhua, and Wang Yang.
Li
Keqiang's death also marks the failure of the Chinese political elite's
attempts to improve China's path in the post-Cultural Revolution era, and the
disillusionment of China's intellectual elite, who longed for economic
development to lead political change.
It is
also a sign that the civilian faction of the CCP, represented by Li Keqiang,
has lost its battle against the red-blooded faction, represented by Xi Jinping.
Once again, China falls at the crossroads of its national destiny.
Some
also say that Li Keqiang's death signifies that the historical regression
initiated by Xi Jinping has plunged off a cliff. With the loss of military,
public, and official support, the CCP regime is like a "dead tiger"
that could fall into chaos at any moment.
Will Things Develop in the Opposite Direction After Reaching Extreme?
The
Chinese have always believed in an old saying that, "Things will develop
in the opposite direction once a limit is reached." Perhaps it is
precisely because of the end of an era represented by the death of Li Keqiang
that a completely new era can be opened.
However,
at a time when the economic and financial crisis is destined to break out in
full force, is there any chance for peaceful evolution in Chinese society? Or
will there even be a tragic situation of "cannibalism" in which the
grassroots are victimized by each other?
Also,
how much risk will the CCP's desperate struggle to maintain its rule at all
costs, bring to the world? At a time when the world situation is already full
of turbulence, one cannot help but be particularly concerned.