(Bertil Lintner’s post from The IRRAWADDY MEDIA on 9 September 2024.)
The simplistic version of what is happening in
northern Shan State is that a united front of Bamar and non-Bamar resistance
armies has liberated huge swathes of territory. The Myanmar army is on the
defensive after being forced to abandon numerous small as well as major
outposts and is about to lose the war.
A more down-to-earth look at the situation,
however, reveals a much more complex picture. It is correct that the
Brotherhood Alliance, which brings together the Myanmar National Democratic
Alliance Army (MNDAA), the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA) and the
Arakan Army (AA), has taken over large tracts of land in northern Shan State,
including several towns and highways between them.
But the bitter reality is that the resistance forces are not always entirely welcome in the areas they now control. Uniformed men from the TNLA, a Palaung group, patrol Shan-dominated towns like Hsipaw and Kyaukme as well as Kachin-inhabited areas around Namhpakka and Kutkai.