Wednesday, May 28, 2025

US-China Proxy Drone War in Kyaukphyu of Myanmar?

             (Based partly on staff post from the NARINJARA NEWS on 27 May 2025.)

China is protecting her trillion dollars interest (China’s Indian Ocean Gateway) by fighting together with Myanmar Army defending (but rapidly losing) the Kyaukphyu Town.

Kyaukphyu is the most crucial town for China’s security and economic interest in Myanmar as being the terminus for Trans-Myanmar Crudeoil and Gas Pipelines and also the terminus for future Kunming-Kyaukphyu Railway. Kyaukphyu also has the China-controlled deep seaport allowing enormous crude-oil-tankers to unload and then piped to Kunming.

As AA occupied 14 townships out of all 17 townships in Arakan, China has started sending PLA armed units disguised as mercenaries or private security personnel since February this year after the AA (Arakan Army) started their operation against Kyaukphyu in January this year.

On February-27 a small PLA armed unit of about fifty (mainly snipers) from PLA Southern Division based in Yunan Province was airlifted to Kyaukphyu as AA intensified the offensive on Kyaukphyu. A PLA drone unit of about twenty also arrived at Kyaukphyu.

China has been providing Myanmar Army with their advanced war drones and related-trainings since beginning of last year but their effectiveness on the fields is not considerable as Myanmar soldiers are mostly illiterate and facing difficulties handling China-made advanced war drones.

So China has now banned Myanmar Army soldiers and Myanmar Navy sailors from operating their drones and Chinese soldiers are now directly operating their war drones themselves since May-19 when AA captured Myanmar Army positions around the Kyaukphyu Town.

Now Chinese snipers and drone-soldiers are digging in deeply at China’s OGT Factory Compound and Myanmar Navy’s Da-nya-waddy Naval Base to defend Kyaukphy Town at any cost. Their tens-and-tens of war drones are daily drop-bombing the AA positions at many Yakhine villages around Kyaukphyu Town.

Chinese has at least managed to stop the AA offensive at just six miles away from Kyaukphyu and only option left for AA to capture Kyaukphyu is to let combined US-Bangladesh drone units, now being stationed at Cox’s Bazar in Bangladesh, to counterattack the Chinese drones. Something like what KIA is doing by using the Ukraine FPV drones provided unofficially by the CIA to down Myanmar Army's Russian helicopters.

Hopefully, the proxy drone war between US and China will begin very soon. Myanmar Army on China’s side and AA on US’s side. Then what? Third World War, hopefully not! I do not think our Donal J Trump is that stupid.